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The ETF Underdogs of Private Credit
Private credit ETFs are stepping in the ring—can they outpunch regulation and low yields?
Private credit ETFs are finally stepping into the spotlight—but they’re still fighting to be taken seriously. With less than $200 million in assets, these newcomers are facing off against interval funds and BDCs with billions under management. But behind the scenes, innovation is brewing, and a trillion-dollar opportunity could be just a few clever wrappers away.
💡 In today’s edition:
Why private credit ETFs are still stuck in the early rounds
The three contenders trying to break through the 15% rule
How hybrid wrappers and synthetic strategies could reshape the game
Let’s get into it. 🥊
Interval funds and non-traded BDCs like BCRED are dominating the private credit headlines. They’re raising billions, getting the platform placements, and locking in sticky capital. But there’s a new challenger making its way to the ring: the private credit ETF.
Smaller and scrappier, these ETFs aren’t throwing knockout punches yet—but they’re training hard—tuning their liquidity models, tightening bid/ask spreads, and structuring sleeves—waiting for their moment under the lights.
Currently, the sum total of private credit ETF assets is tiny: less than $200 million. This is a far cry from the $25 - 30 billion in Interval Fund assets or the $115 - 130 billion in Non-Traded BDC assets.
But the fight to bring ETFs to private credit is being led by 3 well capitalized groups—State Street / Apollo, BondBloxx / Macquarie AM and Virtus—each with a different angle, a different structure and a different strategy to sneak private credit into a daily-liquid wrapper.
In order to grow, ETF providers need to prove their value-add to the market. A big challenge remains the 15% Rule (SEC Rule 22e-4), which limits ETFs and open-end mutual funds to holding no more than 15% of their net assets in illiquid securities.
Since all private credit holdings would get tagged as illiquid, this means that any private credit ETF could only ever have a minority of its portfolio invested in the thing that it was supposedly selling: private loans.
This is obviously a problem. And each of the 3 ETF providers solve for this issue in different ways. Below I’ll profile how each approximate private credit exposure in liquid form—and then look to the future in this space.
🥊 Contender 1: State Street / Apollo (“PRIV”)
We’ll start off with a group that should be one of the stronger contenders over time: State Street / Apollo. State Street was one of the pioneers of the ETF space, launching the first US ETF (“SPY”) in 1993. Earlier this year, they partnered with Apollo to bring “PRIV” to market, benefitting from Apollo’s deep roots in direct lending and asset-backed finance.
PRIV is taking a conservative approach that blends liquid public credit with a modest slice of directly originated private loans. Currently, only 3% of the portfolio is invested in private credit, but they expect to be able to get to 35% over time. PRIV hopes to exceed the 15% illiquid limit through use of a complicated (and untested) liquidity backstop provided by Apollo.
Estimated Portfolio Mix:
Asset Type | Approx. Allocation |
---|---|
Investment-grade corporates | ~55–60% |
Agency MBS | ~25–30% |
Apollo-originated private loans | ~3–10% (target 10–35%) |
Cash/Treasuries | ~5–10% |
So far, PRIV has somewhat stumbled out of the blocks—raising only $54 million as of March 2025. Investors have been turned off by the small allocation to private credit, which was necessary to comply with ETF rules. The yield of 4.5% is also light relative to the 10%+ type yields that can be achieved via interval funds or non-traded BDCs.
🥊 Contender 2: Bondbloxx / Macquarie (“PCMM”)
Bondbloxx is a newer entrant focused on building targeted fixed income ETFs. They’ve leaned into high-yield, emerging market debt, and now private credit through their PCMM launch.
PCMM approximates private credit exposure by investing in rated middle-market CLO tranches, which are ultimately backed by private credit loans. By focusing on CLO tranches that can be priced daily via independent pricing agents, PCMM can invest 95%+ of the portfolio in private credit-like exposure (unlike PRIV’s approach, which is capped at 35% direct private credit exposure).
Estimated Portfolio Mix:
Asset Type | Approx. Allocation |
---|---|
Middle-market CLO mezz tranches | ~55–60% |
Middle-market CLO Sr. tranches | ~20–25% |
Broadly syndicated CLOs | ~10–15% |
Cash/Repo/Cash equivalents | ~3–5% |
Similar to PRIV, adoption for PCMM has been slow. Launched in December 2024, PCMM has so far attracted $108 million in fund flows. It offers a 7.3% yield.
🥊 Contender 3: Virtus (“VPC”)
The longest standing private credit ETF provider of the three, Virtus launched VPC in 2019 to provide yield-focused investors access to the BDC universe. Virtus is a mid-sized asset manager with $180B+ in AUM. While less flashy, they offer a direct, transparent strategy that invests across a portfolio of public BDCs to approximate private credit exposure.
VPC is able to offer diversified private credit exposure by essentially building a liquid fund-of-funds of BDCs. It offers the highest yields of the three (~11% distribution yield). Though with layered fees that detract from returns.
Estimated Portfolio Mix:
Asset Type | Approx. Allocation |
---|---|
Listed BDCs (e.g., ARCC, FSK, OWL) | ~80–85% |
Listed credit closed-end funds | ~10–15% |
Cash/Other | ~0–5% |
AUM of $35 million suggests that this approach to private credit ETFs hasn’t taken off either.
Why Growth Hasn’t Taken Off
The 15% Rule: SEC Rule limits ETFs to 15% in illiquid assets (i.e., loans that can’t be sold within 7 days at fair value)
Yield Gap: PRIV yields ~4.5%, PCMM around 7%, but interval funds and non-traded BDCs offer 9–11%
Portfolio Dilution: ETFs must fill the rest of their sleeve with public IG bonds, CLOs, or listed equities to stay liquid
Bid/Ask Spreads: Still wide compared to core bond ETFs given the small size and lack of trading volume of the existing offerings
Where Innovation Is Brewing
▶ Hybrid Wrappers: Interval Fund + ETF Share Class
Imagine an interval fund (which can hold 80–90% private credit) that also issues ETF shares you can trade on the NYSE. Like any interval fund, once a quarter it would offer to buyback 5% of total fund assets. But investors would be able to buy and sell the ETF share class of the interval fund daily.
You can buy/sell daily like an ETF
But actual redemptions happen quarterly via tender offers
NAV is published weekly or daily
It gives you intraday liquidity without forcing the fund to be liquid. Think: BCRED meets JEPI.
Hybrid wrappers could become the future of semi-liquid access:
The ETF share class provides brokerage integration and easy purchase
The interval fund core allows high private credit exposure with minimal regulatory friction
Shareholders who need liquidity can trade on the exchange (like a closed-end fund), while long-term holders benefit from a more stable NAV and higher yield
Expect at least one major asset manager to seek SEC exemptive relief for this structure in the next 12–24 months.
▶ Semi-Transparent ETFs
These ETFs delay full portfolio disclosure. They help protect trade data and valuations in low-liquidity strategies like private credit.
Doesn’t change the 15% rule
But enables managers to run tighter, more creative strategies without front-running
Useful for CLOs, structured notes, or even public BDCs where position timing is sensitive
May allow sponsors to hold “moderately liquid” or assets with less pricing friction—especially when paired with liquidity lines or pre-arranged asset sales.
🔮 Outlook
Private credit ETFs are tiny now. But innovation is happening across wrapper design, data modeling, and liquidity engineering.
Don’t expect a flood of assets in 2025. But by 2027–2030, the next generation of ETFs might finally offer real private credit exposure with ticker-based access.
If that happens, this market won’t just grow. It will unlock a trillion-dollar shift in how private credit is distributed.
Looking Ahead
The market faces a crucial test this week with several potential catalysts that could either sustain or derail the recent recovery:
Q1 GDP on Wednesday is forecast to show the weakest growth since 2022, primarily due to the massive import surge ahead of tariffs that will severely impact net exports despite decent consumer spending
ISM Manufacturing on Thursday is expected to deteriorate further to 48.0 from 49.2, as regional Fed surveys already show significant weakness across the New York, Philadelphia, and Richmond districts
April Jobs Report on Friday will provide critical insight into whether employment growth is maintaining its modest pace or beginning to show more significant weakness from tariff uncertainty
The stark contrast between still-decent hard data and collapsing sentiment measures creates a particularly challenging environment. As the Fed’s latest Beige Book noted, economic activity remains little changed, but uncertainty around international trade policy is weighing heavily on firms’ ability to plan. Manufacturing surveys show businesses taking a “wait-and-see” approach to hiring and capital expenditures until trade policy clarity emerges.
This week’s earnings will also provide crucial insights, particularly with a heavy concentration of mega-cap technology companies reporting. While these firms have limited direct High Yield Credit exposure, their outlook on consumer demand and supply chain disruptions will help shape broader market sentiment.
The path forward likely depends on whether economic data begins showing more significant deterioration. If this week’s data holds up reasonably well, the credit rally could extend further given attractive absolute yields and strong technical factors. However, if we see major downside surprises, particularly in employment, the market may quickly reassess its recent optimism.
What We’re Reading
Pitchbook: Global PE First Look
Ropes & Gray: U.S. Private Equity Market Recap April 2025
Hamilton Lane: Wealth Professionals Set Sights on Private Infrastructure
#ICYMI [Report] National Center for the Middle Market: Spring 2025 Middle Market Indicator